Week 3 NFL picks

I had another kerfluffle of a week.  A few different things could have happened and I would have looked somewhat smarter this week.  Such as Carpenter making his OT field goal attempt, or Philbin not calling a timeout when Folk’s was blocked.  Or Schwartz calling a timeout right away and not trying to trick the defense when all he accomplished was confusing his own offense and instead of extending the game they lost it right there.  There were some true upsets, although winning at home or beating the New Orleans Saints these days can hardly be called an upset.

Below I will list my picks for week three, straight up in bold and against the spread will be italicized.  I might also give a few words of reasoning.

New York Giants @ Carolina Panthers+1.5

After watching the Giants lose to the Cowboys and then struggle to come back versus the Buccaneers I figured this year might be a .500 campaign.  Carolina at home seemed like a safe bet to me.

St. Louis Rams @ Chicago Bears-7.5

Chicago is a great defensive team with some questions on offense.  Their offense will get there, but for now their defense is strong enough to win games against other teams with offensive issues.  Most of both team’s questions come on the offensive line.  Chicago needed a confidence builder after being shellacked by Green Bay the prior week.

Buffalo Bills@ Cleveland Browns +2.5

Cleveland looks to be the worst team in the league.  Buffalo was trounced in week one but came back big in last weeks victory over Kansas City.  The Bills seemed to me to be a playoff team before the season started, due in part to a favorable schedule.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys -7.5

Tampa looks stronger than I had originally thought, but Dallas is a strong team when they play to their potential and they were at home this week.  Had faith in Tampa to keep it close, but not to overtake Big D.

Detroit Lions@ Tennessee Titans +3.5

Detroit has a powerful offense and Tennessee has a poor defense.  Tennessee has looked horrible thus far this season and Detroit has aspirations of the playoffs.

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts-3.5

Andrew Luck looks like a future star.  Gabbert has struggled thus far in his short NFL career.  The Colts are at home and Jacksonville has played shoddy at best this season.

New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins+3.5

The Jets are a team that has plenty of talent but always seems to have some sort of drama about them.  Miami is a hungry team under a new coach with a promising young quarterback and a stout defense that can put pressure on opposing quarterbacks.

San Francisco 49ers @ Minnesota Vikings +7.5

San Francisco thus far has looked to be the best team in the NFC, defeating two playoff teams from last year in their first two contests.  Minnesota has struggled against two weaker teams, and has a poor secondary.

Kansas City Chiefs @ New Orleans Saints -8.5

New Orleans has played under their potential thus far, but so has Kansas City.  With that said, the Saints have the potential on offense to put up over 30 any week.  The same cannot be said for Kansas City.

Cincinnati Bengals @ Washington Redskins -3.5

Robert Griffin III is clearly still learning, but looks like he can play in the NFL for a long time.  Cincinnati’s strength was supposed to be their defense, but they have struggled in the first two weeks.  Washington needed another win to keep pace with the rest of the NFC East.

Philadelphia Eagles @ Arizona Cardinals +4.5

Arizona has been surprising a lot of people this year, including myself.  Same can be said for Philadelphia, who are looking surprisingly inadequate on offense.  Philadelphia clearly has a more talented offense… or do they?

Atlanta Falcons@ San Diego Chargers -2.5

Both teams are undefeated, but San Diego’s wins have come over a couple of struggling teams.  Atlanta has disposed of at least one formidable opponent and won in a harsh environment in Arrowhead Stadium.

Houston Texans@ Denver Broncos +1.5

Houston has not been challenged yet and has a ferocious defense with not glaring weaknesses.  Denver has shown some holes in their defense and Peyton Manning looks to be in the twilight of his career.

Pittsburgh Steelers@ Oakland Raiders +3.5

Oakland has looked poor in their first two contests.  Pittsburgh has not looked much better, but they have looked competent in all aspects of the game.

New England Patriots @ Baltimore Ravens-2.5

New England dropped a game to the Cardinals, and Baltimore has looked promising with a hiccup against Philadelphia.  Ravens at home seemed like a good call to me, against almost any team in the NFL.

Green Bay Packers @ Seattle Seahawks +3.5

Green Bay looks as if they could be headed to the Superbowl, Seattle is starting a rookie at quarterback.  Seattle is a tough place to play for opposing teams, but I had the Packers winning by exactly 4.

Clearly another poor week by me, and one I would like to forget.  Even the Bears win was kind of ugly.  When is it that the offense is going to take off?  Also the Green Bay Packers got worked, jobbed, screwed however you want to say it, they should have won that game.  Cheers if Golden Tate helped you win your fantasy game this week.

6 Straight, 7 Spread… Ouch
Right now I am at 25 correct straight up picks at 81.5% and 24 correct picks against the spread and at 86.5% on ESPN.  Slowly going down the tubes.


About millerhour

I will probably write about a lot of things nobody cares to read. There is also a good chance I do not update this very often.
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